While you provide an interesting perspective on city versus rural adoption of the automobile, Scientific American agrees with me on the rate of automobile adoption:
Greater utility and more luxury
www.scientificamerican.com
And yet Scientific American did not spend, as I did, over 2 decades researching and writing articles for two national carriage and driving magazines, plus several local publications. My husband and I have a carriage collection we began in 1980. Our oldest vehicle is a 1871-1872 coil spring road cart made by the Cortland Wagon Company of Cortland NY when it first opened in 1871. Our youngest carriage is a pony wagonette circa 1900. My research spanned years of carriage publications archived in several historic societies as well as the Sporting Library in Middleburg, VA. If anyone knows carriages, their heyday and their demise as the premier form of transportation, I do.
Just putting this out there to let you know I do, from decades of research and over 40 years of driving singles and pairs, know what is what when it comes to carriages and driving.
Again keep in mind when articles like the Scientific American were written, they focused on the cities, not the outlying countryside where horses continued to be important transportation well into the 30's and 40's
Another good read is this:
Dale C. Maley column on the history of the city of Fairbury and its residents
www.pontiacdailyleader.com
This echos your comments:
But it continues:
The Amish still use horses - does that mean the conversion is not yet "complete?"
No. I don't count the Amish. Actually, I profoundly wish (for many reasons) they would adopt the electric car and give up horses.
This source has "5th Ave. Easter '13" written on the negative:
Vintage photographs available as fine-art prints or digital stock images
www.shorpy.com
View attachment 154088
It may have been taken on Easter Day, but this is NOT a parade. Nor does the negative say it was a parade. Parades back then, as they are today, are an occasion to dress up both people and vehicles in all sorts of finery and paper flowers. Notice the people on the sidewalk are walking and going about their business. This is just everyday traffic
These are not photos of any organized city parade. When the word was used, it was standard nomenclature for "walking". As in: "she paraded through the town like she was the Queen of Sheba". Also hats were de rigueur for both men and women when they were out in public. Even the lowest of workmen and scullery maids wore a hat in public. Big (wide and tall and often covered in endangered bird feathers) hats were the norm up until the 20s when the close fitting hat, aptly named the cloche, pushed out the big hat (thus saving a number of bird species from extinction) and featured small, demure flowers instead.
Also, any lady of status would not be walking on the road with the riff raff. She'd step from the church right into her car, or carriage, to go home.
The rate of adoption is clear.
The rate of adoption, as I said before, followed the improvements to roads, the building of bridges, the economy, and a specific need. It didn't happen overnight, nor did it happen within one decade. It circled outward from the cities that were both right and ripe for the transition, to the countryside which saw no benefits to an automobile when a horse (who easily live to 25 or more years productively) was a better choice overall.