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It's not the Ukrainian forces that must hold, it's the United States and Europe. More than that, we need to go on the offensive and build and ship whatever Ukraine needs. Otherwise, we will have allowed naked aggression to win the day, and then we will have to do this again elsewhere. Hitler taught us that lesson.
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I'm getting a little tired of this narrative that somehow the momentum has shifted to Russia, and that if Russia takes Sievierodonetsk, then we may as well start printing news maps without Ukraine. Consider the following:
(1) A few weeks into the war, Russia controlled 27% of Ukraine. Now it controls 20%.
(2) Ukraine has been mounting successful counteroffensives in the south, along the Kherson axis. You have to dig a bit to find articles about this.
(3) Anyone who has played Risk knows that you can be losing, but turn in a trio of cards and use them to put a bunch of armies on one territory, and use them to mount a successful attack on an adjacent territory or two, but you won't last long. That's kind of like what Russia is doing in Luhansk . . .they are throwing everything they've got on a narrow area. They're having some tactical success, but paying a huge price, and it won't create any sustainable momentum.
(4) There is a significant resistance movement in Russian-occupied parts of Ukraine. And there is significant resistance to Russian efforts to conscript men of military age in their newly created "people's republics" in Luhansk and Donetsk.
All this said, we need to get all the stuff to Ukraine ASAP. And it would help if the American media would stop filling their broadcasts and newspapers with daily articles on gas prices (the content of which is the same each day - interview some "working class looking" guy in a dirty T-shirt gassing up his pickup truck while he claims that he and his family will have to eat sawdust for breakfast), or pablum like the Johnny Depp trial. We need to keep Ukraine front and center in the hearts and minds of America's leaders and ordinary people.
11 hours ago
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