My understanding is that we could know in a few weeks, whether or not tariffs will be applied to e-bikes from China. Until then it doesn't make much sense to even worry about it. However, if you are a nervous potential ebike purchaser, and worried about higher prices in a couple months, then now might be the time to pull the trigger.
> But if the tariffs do happen, I highly suspect the ebike industry won't stand still. They'll quickly diverify sourcing more, and
could go to places like Taiwan where some larger names already have a presence, or come up with new work-arounds to keep prices competitive. No OEM is going to want to lose market share. Though there are 300 brands, so there could be a nice little near term shake out. One possible scenario :If 25% tariff's kicked in, the market could see a not so subtle shift back to offering more ebikes with hub drives on them, since the hub drives are far less expensive to produce than mid drives. Prices on mid drives and the very large numbers of models of them priced above $3000 and going WAY up from there, have clearly gotten way beyond the affordability threshold of many potential US ebike consumers, many of whom may be standing on the side lines due to the high cost. Wouldn't that be ironic, if the tariff's kicking in, actually caused the industry to re-shift its focus toward building many more models with much more affordable price points, acting as a catalyst to a massive jump in US ebike adoption !?!