Mr. Coffee
Well-Known Member
- Region
- USA
- City
- A Demented Corner of the North Cascades
Just a few observations.
First off, even if you could or wanted to "bring back manufacturing" to the United States that wouldn't necessarily bring back very many jobs. If you are building a new factory from scratch you would logically build a state-of-the-art factory, and in 2018 that means it would be highly automated. Also, likely future manufacturing technologies are likely to be even less labor-intensive.
Second, the real problem in the United States is that we don't have an industrial policy, and those in government who aren't viscerally opposed to the very idea don't have a clue as to how to go about it. If we were being rational adults about this we would identify what are America's strengths (e.g. CPU architectures, systemology, &c) and what technologies are likely to be critical in the future (e.g. nanotechnology, genetic engineering, &c) and come up with a program that maintains our lead where we have one and makes sure we are in the very top tier for those future technologies. Unfortunately, our elected officials aren't rational adults -- so we need to fix that problem first before we can even start on anything else.
Third, and finally, Chinese labor costs are not a monolithic thing. For certain kinds of skilled labor you would pay nearly as much in China as you would in the States. I've worked with companies and products where it was cheaper to manufacture products in other countries despite China's nominal labor cost advantage. That actually generalizes -- nobody can be good at everything. The key is to figure out what we are good at and make sure that niche is big enough and lucrative enough that everyone can eat well and afford an e-bike.
First off, even if you could or wanted to "bring back manufacturing" to the United States that wouldn't necessarily bring back very many jobs. If you are building a new factory from scratch you would logically build a state-of-the-art factory, and in 2018 that means it would be highly automated. Also, likely future manufacturing technologies are likely to be even less labor-intensive.
Second, the real problem in the United States is that we don't have an industrial policy, and those in government who aren't viscerally opposed to the very idea don't have a clue as to how to go about it. If we were being rational adults about this we would identify what are America's strengths (e.g. CPU architectures, systemology, &c) and what technologies are likely to be critical in the future (e.g. nanotechnology, genetic engineering, &c) and come up with a program that maintains our lead where we have one and makes sure we are in the very top tier for those future technologies. Unfortunately, our elected officials aren't rational adults -- so we need to fix that problem first before we can even start on anything else.
Third, and finally, Chinese labor costs are not a monolithic thing. For certain kinds of skilled labor you would pay nearly as much in China as you would in the States. I've worked with companies and products where it was cheaper to manufacture products in other countries despite China's nominal labor cost advantage. That actually generalizes -- nobody can be good at everything. The key is to figure out what we are good at and make sure that niche is big enough and lucrative enough that everyone can eat well and afford an e-bike.