Just for fun...

Iran’s oil is trapped while rival exports are about to surge but Tehran could break the US chokehold | Fortune https://fortune.com/2026/08/16/iran...l-blockade-missiles-aircraft-carrier-lincoln/
Best estimates are Iran is selling 300,000 to 500,000 barrels per day. Which is less than pre war but far from "trapped".

At current prices that's enough money to build 1000+ Shaheed drones per day. Which is more than enough to continue the stalemate and probably enough to fully trash all of the infra in surrounding Gulf States and Saudi. Ukraine has taught us that it doesn't take a very big boom to do a lot of damage to a refinery.

It is also a matter of time until Iran starts using Starlink to remotely guide their drones.
 
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