Don't get your hopes up. Relative to the rest of North America, California west of the San Andreas is sliding sideways to the NW at ~5 cm/year. SoCal will only go under when we get to the Aleutian Trench some 50 million years from now.
The real fun will come when LA pulls up alongside San Francisco some 10 million years from now.
Everyone used to joke that SF property values will drop like a rock when that happens. And it would serve the Silicon Valley types right for bidding up SF housing so much that no one else can afford to live there now.
But SF's declined so much in the last decade that LA might end up taking the hit.
It is very strange up here in the hills-- sometimes, I think we've already taken the hit. A lot of empty houses. There is one right next to me-- no one has lived there in at least 15 years, could be 20. I know it sounds insane, but
no developers can make any money here, or that's what it seems like.
Developers sure hate folks like us, who buy a house and actually live in it for decades. And, as I sometimes have to remind them when they become too aggressive, the feeling is mutual, particularly if they spam us with sales calls or have incompetent contractors who block driveways, or are otherwise rude and inconsiderate.
Seriously, when did it become okay to ask someone, "Hey, do you feel like selling the home you've lived in for a quarter century so I can make some money?" Maybe I'm old fashioned (Get off my lawn!) but... *sigh* I don't think that creates 'wealth' in any meaningful way.
I think the development costs are just so high they can never get their money back out-- they also insist on doing crazy sh*t to make the houses look more dramatic or trendy or something-- and they always seem to buy right around the peaks in prices. What about living in the same place for a quarter century or so, and only pouring a ton of concrete and chopping down a bunch of trees when, like, you actually need another room, or renovating your kitchen when the old one stopped working or is desperately inefficient?
Why not kick off your shoes and stay a while-- and enjoy this...
That was taken today, and this isn't even Griffith Park, just the hills around it.
Some good news and bad news on today's ride. The good: The trail is still in pretty good shape, though you can see why I am very careful at this spot. After stopping to take the photo, I just walked the bike across-- ascending this trail, as it turns out, the Marin is not quite as surefooted as descending, which I did last week or the week before. (A lot of it is user inexperience-- the 29er is just
different, the handling is great at speed. On the flats I was able to hit 24 MPH with a LOT of effort, but we had a little headwind, and could have been a slight upgrade. I think I've hit 25 MPH, but there are so few places here where it's actually flat, and they are so short, it's really hard to be sure.)
Anyway, I don't even know how far the drop is here, I don't want to lean over and look, but it ain't just four or five feet, or 25, or even 50.
Below is another tricky spot, a lesser known trail. Riding Seeker, it's 50/50 -- if I'm feeling sharp and on top of my game, I do ride to the left of the sandbags, between the curb and the tilting bollard, and snap the wheel quickly to the right so I don't drop over the edge and crash into the fence. Increasingly these days, though, I'm just getting off and walking. Don't have anything to prove. I don't want to try it with the Marin until I'm really used to it.
The bad news is that the Marin-- who I may name "Mercury" for her mercurial temperament, and silver color (let me know if you like the name)-- was in one of her moods today. Dropped the chain in second during an ascent, though not in a bad place, fortunately. No problems with power delivery today, however. She's just gonna need some more work before taking on the trickiest bits... we'll see if replacing the chain ring will do it... or if I need a new drive train... or if I'll just go nuts and go to 27-inch wheels while I'm at it. Having plenty of fun while I'm making up my mind....