Yep if you do the same route all the time and wind nor temperature changes much you can really tune the watt-hours needed to the bike you use and not carry any extra. I know for me I have a usual set of local rides I do from my house and it pretty consistent in battery use, however had a couple of times the wind was really blowing and it threw that off quite a bit or the temperature was lower than typical down here.Though I don't know this for a fact, I think many of us that have been riding a couple of years or longer, have a pretty good idea of what it's going to take for battery range for our purposes. I know that personally, my AVERAGE range is about 35 miles on a charge, under all of the conditions I normally ride in. Sure it will vary slightly under unusual conditions, but 35 miles is nearly twice as far as my butt wants to go, so it's a pretty "safe" target range for my required battery size - without being too excessive/heavy.
I also like to take my bike with me camping in the RV, its the perfect vehicle for exploring a new area and in those situations its very difficult to judge the amount of battery I will need for distance especially in the mountains. I also like off-road trail riding which varies wildly as well.
So my ideal bike is a "suv" that can do it all with plenty of battery capacity so that I simply don't have to think about it, I can get up to say 3 hours of riding in any condition without even thinking about managing battery capacity. Obviously this is not currently realistic just an ideal, for now I have to make some sort of compromise for weight based on the efficiency of the bike.