TOTALLY UNEXPECTED - our Como that has had same carrier ,'the other one', DOES develop a shimmy with rear child carrier, just takes longer to start...
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Harmonic Resonance? - CG offset?, hard to believe such little weight difference can cause / effect ...
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is front fork rake a factor?, seems very light.
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the child carrier is well engineered for 'universal use' and offers considerable protection for kid
I would be willing to bet, that with the kid in/on the back, your could have a real case of HB shimmying, so please be careful.
You can do some tests to find out, a gallon of water weighs in at about 8#'s, add enough gallons to the back to get the kids weight and test. Better to know than find out the hard way.
What are the OEM limits for weight on the bike?
What does the carrier weigh?
"is front fork rake a factor?, seems very light."
I don't know, as I am attempting wrap my head around the fork rake angles etc.
Lots of reading to do and I am NOT engineering type person,
so I am in over my head as usual lol.
I did some testing, on my bike the max weight/carrying capacity was 330# - 200#'s my weight = 130# = remaining capacity.
The OEM info states 30#'s per basket.
Started test with 125# = 25#'s per sack, with the 5 sacks on the
back in the basket, spread out, I rode for 20' and thought I was going to be thrown off because the shimmying was so bad.
I kept moving 1 sack of weight at a time, to the front, until I had 100#'s on the front basket, shimmying reduced to Zero.
Rode home and dropped all the sacks off except 1,
which I kept in the front basket, I could ride with no hands on the HB, (not very good at this), with the 1 sack.
If I added another sack of weight to the rear basket, the shimmying started to increase, with every weight added..
I have 2 packs of survival gear/bike tools etc, that I carry ALL the time, I ride cross country and I am at a minimum of 5-10 miles from the nearest road with very spotty c service, 1 pack weighs in at 30#'s, the other at 25#'s, 10#'s for the water/camel bac, and 5#'s for the bike locks/cables/security etc.
I am in the process of carrying the big pack on the back, up close as possible to the seat and the rest of the stuff in the front basket.
There is a slight HB shimmying, when I hit wash board type conditions, very common around here, but I can control it without too much problems, so far.
I haven't tried any speed yet, I normally ride in the 10-12 mph bracket, when I am not crawling along on the cow/horse trails.
Still testing, ymmv
Tia,