Chandlee,
That was a nice write up.
I have been an e-rider since 2006, with the old mid drive Giant Lite, 24V, 6.5Ahr NiMH, 25 mi range, geared up to average 17-19mph. Back then, hub drives were very heavy cupcakes and lead acid batteries were the icing. The Giant L had the best range and weighed 49lbs.
In the 2006-2012 era, Americans didn't want a 65lb bike that might go 15mph tops. It is embarrassing to spend the dough and go slower than the average roadie. So speed begat power, which begat bigger motor, which begat weight, which begat bigger battery, which begat more weight, which begat less speed.... Tidal force was ahead of the day in 2002-2006. They could do 30mph, had NiHm (less wt), but were heavy. Then evolved E+,
Optibike and
Stealth. All the other OEMs could not get a good system together. It wasn't location, location, location. It was battery, battery, battery. Always is about the battery. Li was the holy grail, but it was unstable, costly, unreliable suppliers, dangerous. Optibike lead the way here with a first OEM, 20 Ahr, 3 year warranty Li, way ahead of the day.
Around 2010-12, the industry started to shift. Lithium chemistry became more energy dense with reliable BMS packs and cells got cheaper. Now bikes could become
lighter, and still maintain a 20-30mph top speed. Companies who were making marginal junk, re-invested and started to bring quality. (aka Currie) New players emerged: BH
Easy Motion,
Stromer,
Grace.
Mid drives, that once had a decided advantage with weight, efficiency, handling, began to lose ground to the geared hubs and 48V silent systems. As an analogy, we may be moving away from the 1950's, where you had a family car to do everything, and move into the 2000's where we have 3-4 cars, set apart for different applications. The Optibike, designed by a MX racer (Jim Turner), was one of the first bikes to do-it-all. Made for dirt, but with slicks, made a fast, long range commuter. Now,
Haibike will compete for the xc trails, driving Opti prices down, and many OEM offer bikes with good range, power/speed and better reliability.
Endless Sphere forum had a thread over several months about a super-commuter weight weenie bike. A BH like prototype, but better, ahead of it's time. The new genre of people want their bike legs back. They want it to look cool and ride like a bike. They still want to be able to blow past spandex booty. They want it affordable. Mid drive, dd drive, geared drive, cargo, street, commuter, mountain: we may see people starting to own several styles ebikes.
Historic Rambling,
Dan