lots of unfortunate factors at work here, no doubt.
1. the continued hegemony in urban planning and infrastructure of the automobile and their drivers, manufacturers, etc. many american cities are simply not safe, convenient, or pleasant for the uninitiated to bike around for anything other than limited recreational purposes. there’s a thread here in EBR discussing infrastructure and many opinions are “my city is great!” because it has a few pretty mixed use paths and trails. imagine if you could only drive places along a few routes.
2. work from home. for 100 years we built cities with offices, amenities, and transport to serve them, and then everyone decided they’d rather “work” in their pajamas. this trend has reversed but will take a long time to sort out.
3. general migration away from more expensive, denser, more bikeable cities to cheaper, more sprawling, less bike friendly regions.
4. aggressive, violent behavior by a very small minority of automobile drivers, resulting in well publicized deaths and injuries.
5. aggressive, tribal behavior by a very small minority of cyclists and cycling advocates, resulting in general disdain for anyone on two wheels.
6. general migration towards places with unhealthy climates for outdoor activity. it was over 110 degrees for over 50 days in phoenix this year.
7. the continuing crisis of obesity in the united states. we’ve normalized being enormously overweight, which makes physical activity extremely difficult for most.
i would guess that the bike commuting rates in the handful of cities where it’s always been somewhat feasible are the same, but population shifts and declines elsewhere have significantly lowered the overall rate, as bloomberg documents. our bike room at the office is getting full again post pandemic.
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