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Well forgive me for being confused because what the tariffs actually are seem to be changing every day. I thought Taiwan was back to ten percent. Also, Taiwan is now mostly a high-tech manufacturer and not a mass producer of low-cost consumer goods where automated production is difficult and...

Again how do you export candy stripers? The vast majority of "services trade" is royalties and licensing fees. Followed by consulting fees. In theory a world where remote work was pretty universal would allow things like legal services and accounting and engineering to be traded as well, but...

I think people need to realize there is a difference between mainland China and Taiwan.

When you think "services" you are thinking about flipping burgers. I'm thinking about engineering and legal and financial services. You can't really export cheeseburgers, but you can export a franchise selling cheeseburgers and the royalties and franchise payments flow back to the US.

Great. Explain to me how the US Government's bull-in-a-china-shop antics over the last four months solve those problems. And explain to me how solving this problem is worth the risk driving the US economy in a major recession.

I think if you look at the last five thousand years of human history you will find that prosperous and stable civilizations all had robust (and often surprisingly wide-ranging) trade networks (Rome traded with China and India two thousand years ago). "Self-sufficient" autarkies were much less...

That is probably the healthiest response to the insanity and gaslighting here.

I unfortunately can. And wish I could rip my eyes out...

Two interesting data points from the bike (though not e-bike) industry: Oveja Negra, a small manufacturer of bikepacking bags in Salida, CO, is laying off half of its staff due to displacements caused by tariffs: https://bikepacking.com/news/oveja-negra-colorado-sun-story/ It is interesting...

For a long time my go-to adventure travel camera was a tiny Sony camera kind of like this one. It was tiny, had enormous battery life, and was inexpensive so I didn't feel too bad when it finally gave up the ghost. I found it in a closeout bin at the Fry's in McMinville, OR, talked them down...

Well let’s face it, if he soiled himself on national tv and rolled around in his own ordure. The cult members would praise his brilliance and wisdom.

I’d just note that 30% tariffs are in the same range as the 1929 Smoot Hawley tariffs that made the Great Depression so great. 30% tariffs also likely imply inflation between ten and fifteen percent. And for all we know the idiot in the White House will throw a fit and change the tariffs to...

The title is ‘Premier’

Labeling what has been historically the smart money "emotional" doesn't really accomplish much. Yes, the smart money has been wrong multiple times. But if you are betting against them you'll damned well need a stronger thesis than that they are "emotional investors". Give me some structural...

I remembered today that this thread has a title with "125 percent tariffs", while until this morning the "China tariff" was 145 percent. Now it is something else, presumably much smaller.

Let's keep in mind that a lot of those "emotional sellers" seem to be large institutional investors who have decided that the US Markets are too risky and are putting their money elsewhere.

I think there is a huge differences in the effective forces on a drive wheel going downhill at 30+MPH and under power at those speeds. And the forces on the rear wheel increase rapidly as the speed increases. Pro cyclists on flat terrain rarely manage much faster than about 28MPH, and can...

Actually all of it. And there is a naive assumption that when you end the tariffs everything goes back to the way it was six weeks ago instantly. To reposition the container ships and the containers and get stuff put into them and get them to the states will require at a minimum eight weeks...

ODT W of Lake Crescent, WA: Seabrook Village, WA: Westport, WA: Willapa Hills Trail W of Pe Ell, WA: Oh, and in Clinton, WA a Sign Of The Times:

Seriously dude, what you are talking about is pretty damned dangerous. Bicycle wheels aren't really designed to take 3000W and move a bike at 30+MPH. I'd recommend that you have a super-beefy wheel build (probably with 48 spokes and possibly a symmetric wheel as opposed to a dished-in one) and...