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  1. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    The title is ‘Premier’
  2. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Labeling what has been historically the smart money "emotional" doesn't really accomplish much. Yes, the smart money has been wrong multiple times. But if you are betting against them you'll damned well need a stronger thesis than that they are "emotional investors". Give me some structural...
  3. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I remembered today that this thread has a title with "125 percent tariffs", while until this morning the "China tariff" was 145 percent. Now it is something else, presumably much smaller.
  4. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Let's keep in mind that a lot of those "emotional sellers" seem to be large institutional investors who have decided that the US Markets are too risky and are putting their money elsewhere.
  5. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    I think there is a huge differences in the effective forces on a drive wheel going downhill at 30+MPH and under power at those speeds. And the forces on the rear wheel increase rapidly as the speed increases. Pro cyclists on flat terrain rarely manage much faster than about 28MPH, and can...
  6. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Actually all of it. And there is a naive assumption that when you end the tariffs everything goes back to the way it was six weeks ago instantly. To reposition the container ships and the containers and get stuff put into them and get them to the states will require at a minimum eight weeks...
  7. Mr. Coffee

    First time out this year

    ODT W of Lake Crescent, WA: Seabrook Village, WA: Westport, WA: Willapa Hills Trail W of Pe Ell, WA: Oh, and in Clinton, WA a Sign Of The Times:
  8. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    Seriously dude, what you are talking about is pretty damned dangerous. Bicycle wheels aren't really designed to take 3000W and move a bike at 30+MPH. I'd recommend that you have a super-beefy wheel build (probably with 48 spokes and possibly a symmetric wheel as opposed to a dished-in one) and...
  9. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    Where I'm at on this one:
  10. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Experts in shipping and logistics have already beaten that topic to death and explained why that isn't going to happen.
  11. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    I'm kind of doubtful that any hardtail mountain bike is going to be very stable or safe at 60mph. Or will even stay in one piece for very long.
  12. Mr. Coffee

    Rivian spins out a new micromobility startup called Also with $105M from Eclipse

    I have always found it hilarious that a lot of large American trucks and SUVs won't even fit in a standard sized garage. When you realize most Americans don't ever store their vehicles in a garage (the garage is for storing all of their junk) it almost makes sense. I note that "large American...
  13. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    But a quart and a liter are for all practical purposes the same .
  14. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Easy, when in doubt they just used the largest unit. They had plenty of stuff so shipping too much was rarely an issue.
  15. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I remember how eggs were $100 per dozen back in January...
  16. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I'd be more entertained if I could watch it all from a safe distance.
  17. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    About that. Chinese manufacturing cost advantages are 100 percent about lower labor costs. If the product is more amenable to automated manufacturing, like a product with no large moving parts like a battery that cost advantage will be proportionately less. It really comes down to willingness...
  18. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Where did you get the 20 grand figure from? There are numerous bespoke bicycle manufacturers in the United States. If you go all-in on a custom frame build, custom paint job, and super-fancy high-end components you might get your bike a bit over ten grand. Most of those manufacturers only...
  19. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Color me skeptical about China invading Taiwan. I would think it kind of a ballsy move to start the first war your country actually fights in over forty years with the largest amphibious invasion in history. And one also has to question with modern weapon systems and surveillance technology...
  20. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    The only reason the 2008 crisis wasn't far, far worse was that lot of government officials did their jobs and effectively responded to the disaster. Their actions were far from perfect and created many other problems in following years. But they got us out of the ditch. I have my doubts that...
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