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  1. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I think if you look at the last five thousand years of human history you will find that prosperous and stable civilizations all had robust (and often surprisingly wide-ranging) trade networks (Rome traded with China and India two thousand years ago). "Self-sufficient" autarkies were much less...
  2. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    That is probably the healthiest response to the insanity and gaslighting here.
  3. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I unfortunately can. And wish I could rip my eyes out...
  4. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Two interesting data points from the bike (though not e-bike) industry: Oveja Negra, a small manufacturer of bikepacking bags in Salida, CO, is laying off half of its staff due to displacements caused by tariffs: https://bikepacking.com/news/oveja-negra-colorado-sun-story/ It is interesting...
  5. Mr. Coffee

    What camera do you use if you are into photography, when cycling

    For a long time my go-to adventure travel camera was a tiny Sony camera kind of like this one. It was tiny, had enormous battery life, and was inexpensive so I didn't feel too bad when it finally gave up the ghost. I found it in a closeout bin at the Fry's in McMinville, OR, talked them down...
  6. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Well let’s face it, if he soiled himself on national tv and rolled around in his own ordure. The cult members would praise his brilliance and wisdom.
  7. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I’d just note that 30% tariffs are in the same range as the 1929 Smoot Hawley tariffs that made the Great Depression so great. 30% tariffs also likely imply inflation between ten and fifteen percent. And for all we know the idiot in the White House will throw a fit and change the tariffs to...
  8. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    The title is ‘Premier’
  9. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Labeling what has been historically the smart money "emotional" doesn't really accomplish much. Yes, the smart money has been wrong multiple times. But if you are betting against them you'll damned well need a stronger thesis than that they are "emotional investors". Give me some structural...
  10. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    I remembered today that this thread has a title with "125 percent tariffs", while until this morning the "China tariff" was 145 percent. Now it is something else, presumably much smaller.
  11. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Let's keep in mind that a lot of those "emotional sellers" seem to be large institutional investors who have decided that the US Markets are too risky and are putting their money elsewhere.
  12. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    I think there is a huge differences in the effective forces on a drive wheel going downhill at 30+MPH and under power at those speeds. And the forces on the rear wheel increase rapidly as the speed increases. Pro cyclists on flat terrain rarely manage much faster than about 28MPH, and can...
  13. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Actually all of it. And there is a naive assumption that when you end the tariffs everything goes back to the way it was six weeks ago instantly. To reposition the container ships and the containers and get stuff put into them and get them to the states will require at a minimum eight weeks...
  14. Mr. Coffee

    First time out this year

    ODT W of Lake Crescent, WA: Seabrook Village, WA: Westport, WA: Willapa Hills Trail W of Pe Ell, WA: Oh, and in Clinton, WA a Sign Of The Times:
  15. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    Seriously dude, what you are talking about is pretty damned dangerous. Bicycle wheels aren't really designed to take 3000W and move a bike at 30+MPH. I'd recommend that you have a super-beefy wheel build (probably with 48 spokes and possibly a symmetric wheel as opposed to a dished-in one) and...
  16. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    Where I'm at on this one:
  17. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    Experts in shipping and logistics have already beaten that topic to death and explained why that isn't going to happen.
  18. Mr. Coffee

    What front fork to get for e bike?

    I'm kind of doubtful that any hardtail mountain bike is going to be very stable or safe at 60mph. Or will even stay in one piece for very long.
  19. Mr. Coffee

    Rivian spins out a new micromobility startup called Also with $105M from Eclipse

    I have always found it hilarious that a lot of large American trucks and SUVs won't even fit in a standard sized garage. When you realize most Americans don't ever store their vehicles in a garage (the garage is for storing all of their junk) it almost makes sense. I note that "large American...
  20. Mr. Coffee

    With 125% tariffs, will the e-bike market die?

    But a quart and a liter are for all practical purposes the same .
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