Ebiker01
Well-Known Member
The question takes into account the same price point for both the present and future ebike model- 2k.
A model from now or older vs. a 2022 and beyond ebike.
Some ebikes from few years ago have packs of 400wh, a 350 watt motor or higher. But most are heavy, underpowered and with a small battery pack-3-400wh. Few were made with the 500wh pack that now is considered small(not giving enough range).
A few better ones presently are having a 500-600 wh battery regulary , and some , even higher -of 700wh ,720, 750wh(Besv, Bulls, Bh, and others ), and a very few present the 1kw pack( Biktrix, Juiced, Radrover, Stromer, R&M, and maybe a few others less known brands also are in this 1kw category.
Will a 2019 model and prior with a cost of 2k , a 500wh pack , be worthy of only 2-300$ , 3/ 4years down the line when a battery pack size would be average 1kw (assumption given the evolution of tech.) standard or even higher ? And what if that pack also will charge much faster - at 10amps -that’s a big progress.
What if the battery packs /motor also become much smaller and of course as a result , much lighter ?
That plus also better tech., lighter frame(crabon/kevlar), higher torque (TQ-120NM) for a lighter , better motor ( mid drive or rear hub), how much would they affect the depreciation of current and older ebikes ?
I would say at least 50%, maybe even 70-85% !
Say, if in 2022 an ebike that will cost 2k weights 35lb, has 1kw battery, 750watts motor , 10-15min. RECHARGE time plus Gps, anti theft tech., compared. with
a 2019 model that now cost the same but is 60lb, 500watts , and 3-4hours recharge time ?
Worthless , scrap value , worthy only for the metals in the cells ??
Examples of obsolete tech at very low prices abound-
Iphones, iphone 6+ now is 150$ down from 8-900$. A 10 year old Mac is 100$ -150$ from 2grand. And lots of other similar obsolete tech. can be found.
Since an ebike is essentially a tech. product , those price trends should def. apply.
* Not taking in account the Diy ebikes, allthough the price drops will most likely also apply to them.
A model from now or older vs. a 2022 and beyond ebike.
Some ebikes from few years ago have packs of 400wh, a 350 watt motor or higher. But most are heavy, underpowered and with a small battery pack-3-400wh. Few were made with the 500wh pack that now is considered small(not giving enough range).
A few better ones presently are having a 500-600 wh battery regulary , and some , even higher -of 700wh ,720, 750wh(Besv, Bulls, Bh, and others ), and a very few present the 1kw pack( Biktrix, Juiced, Radrover, Stromer, R&M, and maybe a few others less known brands also are in this 1kw category.
Will a 2019 model and prior with a cost of 2k , a 500wh pack , be worthy of only 2-300$ , 3/ 4years down the line when a battery pack size would be average 1kw (assumption given the evolution of tech.) standard or even higher ? And what if that pack also will charge much faster - at 10amps -that’s a big progress.
What if the battery packs /motor also become much smaller and of course as a result , much lighter ?
That plus also better tech., lighter frame(crabon/kevlar), higher torque (TQ-120NM) for a lighter , better motor ( mid drive or rear hub), how much would they affect the depreciation of current and older ebikes ?
I would say at least 50%, maybe even 70-85% !
Say, if in 2022 an ebike that will cost 2k weights 35lb, has 1kw battery, 750watts motor , 10-15min. RECHARGE time plus Gps, anti theft tech., compared. with
a 2019 model that now cost the same but is 60lb, 500watts , and 3-4hours recharge time ?
Worthless , scrap value , worthy only for the metals in the cells ??
Examples of obsolete tech at very low prices abound-
Iphones, iphone 6+ now is 150$ down from 8-900$. A 10 year old Mac is 100$ -150$ from 2grand. And lots of other similar obsolete tech. can be found.
Since an ebike is essentially a tech. product , those price trends should def. apply.
* Not taking in account the Diy ebikes, allthough the price drops will most likely also apply to them.
